9d ago
Multi-season evaluation and analysis of categorical trend forecasts of influenza hospital admissions in the United States
Davis · J. T. · Kaur · G. · Hines · A. · Ben-Nun · M. · +52 more
Abstract
Forecasting influenza hospitalizations informs public health preparedness, yet questions remain about which types of forecasts best guide action. We evaluate categorical trend forecasts, which communicate probabilities of upcoming increases or decreases in epidemic trajectories, submitted to CDC's FluSight Forecasting Challenge between Fall-2024 and Spring-2026. Teams submitted probability distributions over five categories describing direction and magnitude of week-over-week changes in laborato
Discussion · 0
Sign in to join the discussion.